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EU pig meat production and exports expected to decline through 2035
The EU's pig meat production and exports are anticipated to decline by 2035 due to stricter environmental laws, reduced export opportunities, societal criticism, and African swine fever. Projected to decrease by 0.9% annually, pigmeat production is expected to fall by almost 2 million tons compared to 2021-2023. Per capita consumption is also projected to drop by 0.7% yearly, reaching 29.7 kg in 2035, a 7% decrease from 2021-2023 levels.
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EU Forecasts Further Decline in Pig Meat Production
In the latest EU short-term outlook, production of pig meat is forecast to decline by a further 5% in 2023, this follows a decline of 5.6% in 2022, the lowest production in almost a decade. This is a result of the decline in the number of breeding sows on the continent with commentary that carcase weights may see a slight uplift as price pressure on feed costs ease. It is assumed that the ASF situation on the continent will not see dramatic change in 2023 but will continue to trigger strong responses from affected countries and trading partners.
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FAO: Emerging trends in global pig meat production
ASF continues to be the key determinant in the global production of pig meat.
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EU pig meat production falls on the back of low slaughter
Estimated EU pig meat production for June and July sits at 1.78 million tonnes and 1.66 million tonnes respectively, according to AHDB. For June this is a year-on-year decline of 5.7% and for July a decline of 8.4%. This brings the estimated year to date (Jan- Jul) production for the EU27 to 12.95 million tonnes, the lowest volume since 2017.
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Producers' plans: every fifth is developing
Every fifth pig farm is working on development, as evidenced by the survey of the Association of Ukranian Pig Breeders.
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Russian bombs kill Ukrainian pigs and disrupt major food chains
Pig breeders in Ukraine are facing huge logistical problems to sell their products and generate the necessary income as Russian bombs continue to kill animals and disrupt food chains.
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Russian bombs kill Ukrainian pigs and breaks essential food chains
Chris McCullough, in his article for pigprogress.net explained the problems faced by Ukrainian pig breeding during martial law based on the comments of the president of the Association of Ukranian Pig Breeders Oksana Yurchenko. See details in the article.
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What to expect in the Chinese pork market this year
Pork imports will drop to 3.3 million tonnes — USDA report.
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UK: Support for improving animal health and welfare
The UK has set out plans for government funded vet visits, grants for animal welfare improvements, and health and welfare priorities for the swine industry.
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China seems to head for 100% self-sufficiency in pork
The national swine herd may reach 504 million head this year, says a Polish market analyst.
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More ASF cases reported in Thailand
Thailand has reported eight total outbreaks of African swine fever in pigs to the OIE.
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Thailand: How will production and prices fare with ASF in 2022?
Swine production is expected to decline significantly in 2022, causing an upward price pressure on pork.
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Global pig meat production to grow 13% by 2030
Global pig meat production is projected to grow 13% over the coming decade driven by growth in developing countries, according to the latest OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook to 2030.